Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000123 0.000135 0.000148 0.000163 0.000179 0.000197 0.000218
2025-11-23 0.000097 0.000114 0.000134 0.000159 0.000189 0.000224 0.000269
2025-11-30 0.000084 0.000104 0.000129 0.000161 0.000203 0.000256 0.000329
2025-12-07 0.000075 0.000097 0.000125 0.000164 0.000218 0.000288 0.000391
2025-12-14 0.000066 0.000089 0.000118 0.000161 0.000222 0.000307 0.000437
2025-12-21 0.000058 0.000080 0.000110 0.000155 0.000222 0.000318 0.000472
2025-12-28 0.000054 0.000076 0.000108 0.000156 0.000230 0.000342 0.000529
2026-01-04 0.000050 0.000073 0.000105 0.000157 0.000239 0.000368 0.000592
2026-01-11 0.000046 0.000068 0.000101 0.000155 0.000243 0.000385 0.000641
2026-01-18 0.000043 0.000065 0.000099 0.000156 0.000251 0.000409 0.000706
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000062 0.000096 0.000153 0.000253 0.000425 0.000757
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000059 0.000093 0.000153 0.000259 0.000447 0.000823
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000056 0.000090 0.000151 0.000262 0.000465 0.000885
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000053 0.000086 0.000147 0.000262 0.000477 0.000938
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000051 0.000085 0.000149 0.000273 0.000511 0.001042
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000050 0.000085 0.000152 0.000285 0.000551 0.001164
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000047 0.000082 0.000149 0.000286 0.000566 0.001234
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000044 0.000077 0.000144 0.000281 0.000569 0.001275
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000043 0.000076 0.000145 0.000289 0.000600 0.001389
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000042 0.000076 0.000146 0.000297 0.000634 0.001516
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000040 0.000073 0.000144 0.000299 0.000652 0.001605
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000039 0.000072 0.000144 0.000306 0.000685 0.001739
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000037 0.000070 0.000142 0.000308 0.000702 0.001835